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Intraday Signals for BTCUSD
Trade Setup 1:
📉 Sell BTCUSD
Entry: 60,837 USD (Live Market Price)
Stop Loss: 61,200 USD
Take Profit 1: 60,000 USD
Take Profit 2: 59,500 USD
Analysis: Based on the Fibonacci retracement levels from the daily chart, BTCUSD faces a key resistance around 61,000 USD. A retracement toward 60,000 USD is expected, aligning with a descending EMA (200), reinforcing bearish pressure.
Trade Setup 2:
📈 Buy BTCUSD
Entry: 60,000 USD
Stop Loss: 59,500 USD
Take Profit 1: 61,000 USD
Take Profit 2: 61,500 USD
Analysis: A bullish reversal is likely from the 60,000 USD support, aligned with daily pivot points and oversold RSI on the 4-hour timeframe. This presents a potential opportunity for a short-term buy.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so ensure you fully understand the risks involved. Please read and ensure you fully understand our Risk Disclosure. Not Financial Advice. Trade at your own risk. Take Partial Profits, Use Strict Stop Loss, and Proper Risk Management.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis Overview of Daily and 4-Hour Timeframes
Support & Resistance Levels
Daily Resistance: 61,000 USD, 61,500 USD
Daily Support: 60,000 USD, 59,500 USD
4-Hour Resistance: 60,837 USD, 61,200 USD
4-Hour Support: 60,000 USD, 59,500 USD
BTCUSD is showing bearish tendencies near the resistance level of 61,000 USD. However, the daily support around 60,000 USD offers a strong buy zone. On the 4-hour chart, price action remains in a tight range, bouncing between 60,000 USD and 61,000 USD.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
61.8% Retracement: 60,837 USD (from swing high of 61,500 USD to swing low of 60,000 USD)
38.2% Retracement: 60,500 USD
These Fibonacci levels align closely with daily pivot points and support/resistance zones, offering potential buy/sell entries.
EMA Levels
Daily EMA (50): 60,700 USD
Daily EMA (100): 60,500 USD
Daily EMA (200): 61,000 USD
Daily EMA (400): 61,500 USD
On the daily timeframe, BTCUSD is trending below the EMA (200) at 61,000 USD, signaling potential bearish continuation. However, the EMA (50) on the 4-hour timeframe is offering minor support at 60,700 USD.
4-Hour EMA (50): 60,700 USD
4-Hour EMA (100): 60,500 USD
4-Hour EMA (200): 61,000 USD
4-Hour EMA (400): 61,500 USD
RSI Divergence
The RSI on the 4-hour chart shows bullish divergence, indicating a possible upward reversal near the 60,000 USD support. Watch for a break above 60,837 USD for confirmation of this reversal.
Order Blocks & Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
There is a noticeable order block between 60,000 USD and 59,500 USD, marking it as a strong area of demand. Smart money flow suggests a potential reversal if BTCUSD holds above this range.
MACD Indicator
The MACD on the 4-hour chart is showing signs of a bullish crossover, further supporting a possible price rebound from the 60,000 USD level.
Fundamental Analysis and USD News Impact
Upcoming USD News
BTCUSD traders should pay close attention to the following key USD news events, which could impact the pair's movement:
U.S. CPI Report (Scheduled: 13th Oct 2024) – Inflation data could lead to significant volatility in the market. A higher-than-expected CPI may strengthen the USD, pressuring BTCUSD lower.
FOMC Meeting Minutes (Scheduled: 18th Oct 2024) – Market participants will watch for clues on future Fed rate hikes, influencing BTCUSD’s medium-term outlook.
Daily Analysis Summary BTCUSD
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Key Levels Recap:
Daily Support: 60,000 USD
Daily Resistance: 61,000 USD
4-Hour EMA Levels:
EMA (50): 60,700 USD
EMA (200): 61,000 USD
Fibonacci Levels:
61.8% Retracement: 60,837 USD
Pivot Points:
Weekly Pivot: 60,500 USD
Daily Pivot: 60,700 USD
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