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Gold Market Analysis: Fibonacci, EMA, RSI Divergence & Key Levels for Profitable Setups (19/09/2024)

Updated: Sep 23

Gold Market Analysis - 19/09/2024:

Comprehensive Breakdown with Fibonacci, EMA, RSI Divergence, Weekly Pivots, SMC Concepts, and Support/Resistance Levels.


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Gold's current price at 2566 signals a key moment for traders. The confluence of several technical indicators reveals a potential shift in the market, making it critical for traders to position themselves for maximum profitability. Here’s a breakdown using multiple tools:


Fibonacci Levels:

From the last major swing low of 2400 to the recent high of 2580, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement sits around 2502, while the 0.618 level holds at 2480. Both are key for pullback opportunities, with potential buy entries at these levels.


Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):

100 EMA is acting as immediate support at 2530.


200 EMA hovers around 2480, aligning closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, making it a robust demand zone.


400 EMA provides deeper support near 2430, marking a critical area for a long-term bullish bias.


RSI Divergence:

On the 4H chart, a noticeable bullish RSI divergence is forming, suggesting momentum may soon reverse upward. Despite price corrections, momentum seems to be favoring the bulls.


Weekly Pivots:

The weekly pivot point is around 2550, which is slightly below the current price. This level could act as near-term support, especially when paired with confluence from other indicators. Meanwhile, the first resistance (R1) lies near 2585, testing the market's recent highs.


Smart Money Concepts (SMC):

Institutional order blocks are seen around 2540-2550, indicating potential accumulation zones. These levels may offer smart money traders great entry points, further strengthened by previous rejections and price reactions.


Support & Resistance:

Resistance: The first key resistance is at 2580, followed by a strong zone near 2600.

Support: Immediate support lies at 2550, with deeper support at 2500 (Fib 0.382) and 2480 (Fib 0.618).


Summary:

Key Fibonacci Levels: 2502 (0.382), 2480 (0.618)

Support Levels: 2550 (near-term), 2500, 2480, 2430 (400 EMA)

Resistance Levels: 2580, 2600

EMAs: 100 EMA at 2530, 200 EMA at 2480, 400 EMA at 2430

Weekly Pivot: 2550


This confluence of technical signals suggests that gold could soon see a pullback before resuming a bullish trend. Watch these levels closely for optimal entry points!



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"An illustration showcasing gold trading with gold bars in the foreground, overlaid with candlestick charts and financial graphs. A world map is subtly displayed in the background, symbolizing the global market. The word 'Gold' is prominently featured."
Gold Trading Technical Analysis - 19/09/2024


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